Infrasonic
Hum; a new way of proving Earth's climate is Geomagnetically controlled, by Dr Chris Barnes, February
2014
e-mail doctor.barnes@yahoo.co.uk
Dr Barnes Homepage http://www.drchrisbarnes.co.uk
Abstract
Infrasound amplitudes, timings and places of arrival
can only be predicted by complex dynamic models of the atmosphere (ref). At the
last count it was believed that such models for infrasound propagation do not
include the precise behaviour of the QBO, taking instead only average values of
the zonal wind field (ref). General
background infrasound arises from multiple natural and anthropogenic sources
around the world(refs). Infrasound is usually detected using special
equipment and arrays(refs). It has recently been shown
that without special equipment and only sensitive people as detectors, the Hum in North
Wales, UK can be used as medium term
weather forecaster. The purpose of this
work then is given the Hum's success as a weather forecaster and knowing that
weather and climate are linked to the solar cycle are outbreaks of the Hum
similarly correlated? If so this would
give considerable support to the latest hypotheses that weather and climate are
controlled by the interaction of the magnetics of the sun-earth system with
incoming galactic gamma ray bursts (GRB).
It has previously been suggested that GRB may increase atmospheric
infra-sound (ref). Two distant peaks of
Hum are seen. One just before solar minimum and another just before solar
maximum. The trough occurs about a year
after solar minimum as defined by sunspot number. There is approximately 6
years between the peaks. Fenyman (1982) has pointed
out that the the solar cycle as expressed by sunspots
can be very different from that as expressed by geomagnetics
i.e. the solar wind. She has further pointed out that that there can be long
lived solar wind streams followed by shorter more sporadic events some 5 or 6
years later. Also Gilman and Howard
(1984) note differences in sunspot rotation rates close to solar minimum and
maximum with the strongest peak near to solar minimum. Angular momentum exchange in the body and atmosphere of the sun
may well impinge on the sun -earth system as a whole and impinge on earth
climate http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/01/09/nasa-on-the-sun-tiny-variations-can-have-a-significant-effect-on-terrestrial-climate/ . It seems Infrasonic Hum could be a
barometer of this. Also it is
interesting to note the time lag between long lived solar wind-stream events
and more sporadic ones is of the right order to be considered as an alternative
candidate for driving ENSO. Rainfall can
be seen to peak at geomagnetic solar minimum.
The hypothesis is quite simple. At this minimum GRB bursts are less
deflected by the solar wind and hence there is more cloudiness and more chance
of rainfall. Planetary Ap values have
been consistently falling for several decades and it is likely this coupled
with the present QBO phase which is causing increased storminess and rainfall
in the southern UK ( WINTER OF 2013/14). This fall in Ap
value is also consistent with the appearance of more and more persistent
aircraft contrails in our skies and to some extent justifies the earlier
conclusions of the present author with respect to contrails and their
anthropogenic contributory factors in what is in essence predominantly solar
driven climate change. If Ap continues to fall we shall soon
see the transition to a Maunder like period of major climate cooling. The hypothesis that the
solar cycle and infrasonic Hum are connected is corroborated. However, the
findings of the present work indicate that geomagnetic solar cycle as based on Ap values rather than sunspot numbers may be far more
relevant to the Hum and hence to its part in weather
and climate forecasting.
Introduction
World infrasound monitoring is a rapidly growing scientific
research field. The need for improved infrasound monitoring has been spurred on
by requirement on two distinct fronts.
Firstly, the need to enforce the comprehensive nuclear test ban treaty [1] and secondly as an element in
Tsunami warning and monitoring systems [2].
Infrasound amplitudes, timings and places of arrival
can only be predicted by complex dynamic models of the atmosphere [3]. At the last count it was believed
that such models for infrasound propagation do not include the precise
behaviour of the QBO, taking instead only average values of the zonal wind
field [4].
General background infrasound arises from multiple
natural and anthropogenic sources around the world [5]. Infrasound is usually
detected using special equipment and arrays, see for example, but not limited
to Matoza et al (2007) [6].
Recently, initially in Britain and the USA but more
recently in many countries of the World there have been reports of an unusual
and mainly nocturnal acoustic phenomenon known to those afflicted as the Hum,
see for example but not limited to Deming (2004) [7]. Geographic
meta-analysis based simply on a mapping website [8] for those afflicted by or enquiring about the Hum seems to most
strongly associate the Hum with regions and countries of the World which have a
lot of renewable energy systems, see Barnes (2013) [9]. Acoustic spectra
recorded in specific locations which experience the Hum often record infrasonic
components and power-line frequencies with a skewed and extremely quiet
acoustic zone about say 200Hz. Since the
characteristics of the Hum are closely as those described for infra-sound, see
Moller and Pederson (2004)
[10] it is reasonable to suppose
that the Hum has a least some infrasonic component and that some humans are
sensitive to this. However, some of
those afflicted by the Hum describe other facets which suggests that it has a,
possibly, coherent magnetic component which they are also somehow
bio-detecting. The Hum has also been
shown to have some seismic and apparently some space weather connections, see
some of my earlier work, Barnes [11].
The main difference between the Hum and
other cases of LFN (low frequency noise) is that the latter occur fairly
locally and can be traced by Environmental Health inspectors whereas cases of
the Hum are rarely, if ever traced. This
suggests propagation of the Hum or at least one of its components is via longer
distance channels.
It has recently been shown that the Hum in North
Wales, UK can be used as medium term weather forecaster, see Barnes [12].
The purpose of this present work then is given the
Hum's success as a weather forecaster and knowing that weather and climate are
linked to the solar cycle are outbreaks of the Hum similarly correlated? If so this would give considerable support to
the latest hypotheses that weather and climate are controlled by the
interaction of the magnetics of the sun-earth system with incoming galactic
gamma ray bursts (GRB). It has
previously been suggested that GRB may increase atmospheric infra-sound, see
for example, but not limited to Greiner et al [13].
Experimental
If the Hum were a purely random process with the
number of outbreaks in a fixed short interval governed by Gaussian statistics
one would expect the cumulative number of outbreaks over a longer interval to
simply keep on increasing linearly with time.
The number of Hum outbreaks in Bangor, North Wales UK severe enough to
be noticed by the author and his wife has been logged at monthly intervals over
a seven year period from January 2006 to December 2013. A simple linear regression plot, cumulative
number versus month number is used to test the hypothesis.
Results
The results covering the period September 2005 to
December 2013 are shown initially in cumulative outbreak format below, see
figure 1.
Figure 1 :
Cumulative event format (left) and residuals (right)
At first sight there would appear to be no simple
analysis here, although the deviation from linearity in the plot does look
indicative of a real physical effect. Perhaps
somewhat unexpectedly at first, the form of the residuals seem to have a periodicity which look rather like the form
of the known ENSO and QBO periods for the time-scale involved. I decided to
investigate this further, see figure 2.
The known phases and amplitudes of the 50 mb zonal wind index are known and available from NOAA [14].
Figure
2
The residuals
take on the familiar QBO quasi -periodicity. It can be clearly seen that we are
in a moderately strong +ve QBO phase at present.
The residuals on the Infrasonic Hum plot surprisingly
mirror the QBO behaviour with a phase difference of several months. However,
there are clearly other longer time-scale processes present.
Such other a process for consideration may be ENSO,
see figure3.
Figure
3, Multivariate ENSO index between March 2005 and present day.
Interestingly the starting and ending phases of the
Infrasonic Hum residuals plot looks similar to ENSO but there are phase
reversals in the central portion.
It is assumed that therefore the solar cycle must be
the single dominant feature. In order to investigate this further the number of
Infrasonic Hum events in each year is plotted against smoothed sunspot number,
see figure 4.
Figure 4
Two distinct peaks can be seen. One just before solar
minimum and another just before solar maximum.
The trough occurs about a year after solar minimum as defined by sunspot
number. There is approximately 6 years between the peaks. Fenyman
(1982) [15] has pointed out that the
solar cycle as expressed by sunspots can be very different from that as
expressed by geomagnetics i.e. the solar wind. She
has further pointed out that that there can be long lived solar wind streams
followed by shorter more sporadic events some 5 or 6 years later. Also Gilman and Howard (1984) [16] note differences in sunspot
rotation rates close to solar minimum and maximum with the strongest peak near
to solar minimum. Angular momentum exchange
in the body and atmosphere of the sun may well impinge on the sun -earth system
as a whole and impinge on earth climate, see also http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/01/09/nasa-on-the-sun-tiny-variations-can-have-a-significant-effect-on-terrestrial-climate/
[17]. It seems Infrasonic Hum as heard in Bangor
Wales (but most likely elsewhere as well) could be a barometer of this. Also it is interesting to note
that the time lag between long lived solar wind-stream events and more sporadic
ones is of the right order to be considered as an alternative candidate for
driving ENSO.
Further, since the Infrasonic Hum in Bangor has
previously been shown to be a very good medium range weather forecaster the
timings are suggestive that Earth’s weather and climate are very strongly
controlled by geomagnetism as is suggested by a significant number of major climate scientists who are dismissive of
the notion of an entirely carbon fuelled
global climate change . Indeed my work here in 2013/2014 has been
truly state of the art and predictive, see Watts (2015) [18]. I have revised this draft in February 2015 as I had not previously
included a full reference list.
To confirm this notion the behaviour of the planetary Ap value is plotted against
sunspot number, see figure 5.
Figure 5 : Planetary Ap number versus smoothed sunspot number
A very similar behaviour can clearly be
seen in Figures 4 and 5 also confirming my earlier hypothesis that Infrasonic
Hum is intimately linked with geomagnetism.
To these ends it is instructive to consider the effect
of the recent solar minimum (geomagnetic) on UK rainfall, see figure 6.
Figure
6
Rainfall can be seen to peak at
geomagnetic solar minimum. The
hypothesis is stunningly simple. At this minimum GRB bursts are less deflected
by the solar wind and hence there is more cloudiness and more chance of
rainfall. Planetary Ap values
have been consistently falling for several decades and it is likely this
coupled with the present QBO phase which is causing increased storminess and
rainfall in the
southern UK ( WINTER OF 2013/14).
This fall in Ap value is also consistent with the appearance of more and
more persistent aircraft contrails in our skies and to some extent justifies my
earlier conclusions with respect to contrails and their anthropogenic
contributory factors in
what is in essence predominantly solar driven climate change. I sincerely
fear that if Ap continues to
fall it is expected we shall soon see the transition to a major and lengthy
Maunder-like period of climate cooling.
